Monday, September 15, 2025

Market Winners: My Top SGX and HKEx Stock Picks Since Late 2024

The SGX and HKEx stocks I have recommended to my followers here and on InvestingNote since late 2024 have delivered stellar results, and I hope to achieve similar performance going forward. The following table summarises the stocks, my post dates, and their respective ROI(%):



I can only conclude that these results require hard work, knowledge, discipline, and contrarian thinking with a global perspective.

My overall portfolio ROI has been approximately 45% so far this year. I know it will not be easy to maintain these exceptional results, but I will be satisfied with anything close to this performance going forward.

Friday, September 5, 2025

Turnaround play: Nam Cheong combines 32% net margins with 90 ct technical target

Nam Cheong closed on 5 Sep 2025 at 75.5 cents. 

Based on my technical analysis, it is positioned to rise to 90 cents. This turnaround company boasts a strong net profit margin of 32.30% and demonstrated growth potential.


Nam Cheong daily chart at the close of 5 Sep 2025


Superphang
https://superphang.blogspot.com

Wednesday, September 3, 2025

🎯 Target Hit! Beng Kuang Warrant Delivers 60% ROI in 2+ Months

Refer to my earlier post on Beng Kuang Warrant of 30 July 2025: https://superphang.blogspot.com/2025/07/valuation-insight-beng-kwang-warrant.html

Yes, the intraday high reached 12.6 cents today, 3 Sep, surpassing my target of 12 cents and achieving a 60% ROI within just over two months. What an achievement! 

A big huat to my friends and followers who joined me on this exciting and prosperous journey!

The underlying share closed today at 34.5 cents and the warrant at 11.9 cents. I am still holding the position as the underlying stock continues to show strength for further upside. Most importantly, the warrant remains relatively undervalued due to its negative premium ((11.9 + 22 - 34.5) / 34.5 = -1.74%), high gearing ratio (34.5 / 11.9 = 2.9x), and sufficiently long time to expiration (more than 2 years remaining).

This market anomaly won't persist for long.

Superphang
https://superphang.blogspot.com

Friday, August 29, 2025

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holds Steady Amid Global Trade Shifts

Refer to my earlier post of 16 July 2025 regarding "YZJ Shipbuilding: Where Value Meets Growth":

https://superphang.blogspot.com/2025/07/yzj-shipbuilding-where-value-meets.html

YZJ has entered into additional shipbuilding contracts for 22 vessels and the Group has secured a total of 35 effective shipbuilding contracts year to date with an aggregate value of US$1.46 billion.


Despite rising geopolitical tensions and new US trade measures, China’s Yangzijiang Shipbuilding is navigating 2025 with resilience and long-term strength. As part of efforts to boost domestic industry, the US Trade Representative has introduced higher port fees for Chinese-built vessels under Section 301 of the Trade Act, identifying China’s shipbuilding leadership as a strategic concern.

While this has led to temporary caution among global shipowners, Yangzijiang remains well-positioned. “Clients are waiting to see how the rules evolve,” says Ren Yuanlin, the company’s founder. Even so, with limited alternatives in South Korea and Japan due to labor shortages and rising costs, demand for China’s shipyards remains strong.

Shipbuilding remains a hands-on industry that can’t easily be automated, and Yangzijiang’s combination of technical know-how, capital, and skilled labor gives it a competitive edge. Ren is confident: “For every ship made in the US, I can make five in China. That’s our cost advantage.”

More importantly, Yangzijiang is leading the global shift toward greener shipping. Nearly 75% of its US$23.2 billion order book consists of eco-friendly vessels, driven by the International Maritime Organization’s goal of net-zero emissions by 2050. These orders, spanning delivery through 2030, offer solid revenue visibility and align with the global decarbonization agenda.

Analysts remain bullish. DBS and UOB Kay Hian both maintain “buy” ratings, highlighting the company’s strong order pipeline, high margins, and ability to turn signed intent letters into long-term contracts.

Despite near-term market uncertainty, Yangzijiang is charting a confident course—powered by green innovation, cost leadership, and global demand. As the industry evolves, it continues to sail ahead of the fleet.

Superphang
http://superphang.blogspot.sg

Monday, August 25, 2025

GME Group (HK:8188): 6-Week Performance Review - 15.2% ROI and Enhanced Dividend Yield

Refer to my earlier post on GME Group (HK:8188) dated 14 July 2025 where I recommended it when the price was at 92 cents:

https://superphang.blogspot.com/2025/07/gme-group-hk8188-deep-value-play-in.html

 

GME Group (HK:8188) closed at $1.06 today, 25 August 2025. The 1H2025 earnings declined by 5.2%, and the TTM P/E dropped to 6.13x from 5.92x, which still appears undervalued.

The company just declared a 5 HK cents dividend, with an ex-dividend date of 23 September and payment date of 31 October. This represents a 25% improvement over the 4-cent dividend for the same period last year.

The unrealised ROI since I recommended this stock approximately 1.5 months ago is now 15.2%. I will continue to hold this stock to collect the dividend and maintain my target price of HK$1.79 by July 2026.

Superphang
https://superphang.blogspot.com



Monday, August 4, 2025

Union Gas Soars 42% in a Day: Possible Privatization Ahead?

Union Gas surged from 39 cents to 55.5 cents on 4th August, marking a 42.31% increase. The spike occurred during the post-market auction after 5 pm, as the stock had been hovering around 38 cents for most of the day before that.

I bought Union Gas on 2nd July at $0.32 apiece, viewing it as a defensive play with a solid dividend yield—particularly attractive given its insulation from Trump’s reciprocal tariffs. My unrealized net ROI has now reached about 72.7% within about a month. I had not expected such a drastic surge in such a short time, especially since most of the gains happened in a single session.

Based on the chart, I estimate the next resistance level to be around 68 cents, calculated as the average between the recent trough and the peak on 28th Jul 2021.

The company is 68% owned by the Teo family, and there is a possibility it may be taken private by them. As for me, I will sit back with some popcorn and wait for the price to approach that resistance level before deciding whether to divest.

Superphang
https://superphang.blogspot.com

Wednesday, July 30, 2025

Valuation Insight: Beng Kuang Warrant Trades Below Historical Premium Levels

Beng Kuang Marine W270904 (Z3RW) appears undervalued when considering its favourable characteristics: a sufficiently long time to expiration (more than 2 years remaining), high gearing ratio (25.5/7.5 = 3.4x), and relatively low premium of 15.69% ((7.5+22)/25.5 – 1) required to exercise the warrant and convert it to the underlying shares of Beng Kuang Marine (BEZ).

Warrant Premium Calculation

The standard formula for calculating warrant premiums is: (Warrant price + Exercise price) / Underlying share price = 1 + premium

More concisely: (W + E) / P = 1 + premium

Rearranging this formula, the warrant price W can be expressed as: W = (1 + premium) × P - E

Based on historical market data, when multiple warrants are trading in the market, the average premium typically ranges from 20% to 30%.

Valuation Analysis

Given the current parameters:

  • Share price (P) = $0.255
  • Exercise price (E) = $0.22
  • Applying a 25% premium

The estimated fair warrant price would be: W = (1 + 0.25) × 0.255 - 0.22 = $0.09875  or 9.875 cents

Compared to the current warrant price of 7.5 cents, this suggests a potential upside of approximately 31.67%, even without any upward movement in the underlying share price.

Investment Outlook

The warrant price is likely to be appreciated further if the underlying share price rises. This scenario appears plausible given that Beng Kuang Marine is considered an undervalued opportunity with:

  • Trailing twelve months (TTM) P/E ratio of 4.4x
  • Classification as a penny stock, which often experiences significant gains during bullish market conditions like now

Price Target

I estimate the Beng Kuang warrant will reach 12 cents within 6 months, representing a potential upside of 60% from current levels.


Superphang
https://superphang.blogspot.com